Yes, El Niño is building

[Bob Of Burleson]

Winter of extreme weather

ClickGreen.org

There is a 60% likelihood of an El Niño being fully established between June and August, increasing to 75-80% for the October to December period, according to an El Niño Update issued by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO).

Based on advice from National Meteorological and Hydrological Services, many Governments have already started preparing for the arrival of El Niño, which is associated with regional-scale drought and flood situations in different parts of the world and has a warming influence on global average surface temperatures.

El Niño is characterized by unusually warm ocean surface temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific, coupled with typical atmospheric circulation patterns. It is a natural phenomenon with a recurring interval of 2-7 years and has a major impact on the climate around the world. The last El Niño was in 2009/2010.

Tropical Pacific Ocean temperatures have recently warmed to weak El Niño thresholds but atmospheric conditions (such as sea level pressure, cloudiness and trade winds) have remained neutral. This indicates that El Niño has not yet become fully established, as it essentially depends on the interaction between the ocean and the atmosphere. However, atmospheric patterns that are typical of a fully developed El Niño event on the basin-wide scale are still likely to appear, according to the WMO Update, which is based on consensus from experts around the world.

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[BigTex]

Funny how nature seems to work these things out.


In its 2014 Atlantic hurricane season outlook issued today, NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center is forecasting a near-normal or below-normal season.

The main driver of this year’s outlook is the anticipated development of El Niño this summer. El Niño causes stronger wind shear, which reduces the number and intensity of tropical storms and hurricanes. El Niño can also strengthen the trade winds and increase the atmospheric stability across the tropical Atlantic, making it more difficult for cloud systems coming off of Africa to intensify into tropical storms.

[marti]

So....how will it impact Northeast Texas????? Rain? Please say rain!

[bodine]

From wiki:

"Winters, during the El Niño effect, are warmer and drier than average in the Northwest, northern Midwest, and northern Mideast United States, so those regions experience reduced snowfalls. Meanwhile, significantly wetter winters are present in northwest Mexico and the southwest United States, including central and southern California, while both cooler and wetter than average winters in northeast Mexico and the southeast United States (including the Tidewater region of Virginia) occur during the El Niño phase of the oscillation."

[scarlett~nc]

Looks like the first tropical storm will not only hit the Carolina's but N J and Northern Coast also..
it's time the North got the brunt of Hurricanes !!

[GFB]

Either way..a big "nuttin'."

[scarlett~nc]

Either way..a big "nuttin'."

yes, 70 mph winds is a big nothing, thank goodness ..the week of the 4th , the biggest week of the year for Coastal North and South Carolina ..Glad we didn't plan on a beach trip this week, family just got back from Emerald Isle Beach, NC on Sunday ..

[GFB]

Either way..a big "nuttin'."

yes, 70 mph winds is a big nothing, thank goodness ..the week of the 4th , the biggest week of the year for Coastal North and South Carolina ..Glad we didn't plan on a beach trip this week, family just got back from Emerald Isle Beach, NC on Sunday ..

Don't you have a hurricane in the neighborhood?

[scarlett~nc]

Either way..a big "nuttin'."

yes, 70 mph winds is a big nothing, thank goodness ..the week of the 4th , the biggest week of the year for Coastal North and South Carolina ..Glad we didn't plan on a beach trip this week, family just got back from Emerald Isle Beach, NC on Sunday ..

Don't you have a hurricane in the neighborhood?

only my 2 1/2 year old grandson, Gibbi !

[Bob Of Burleson]

First named storm of season could drench July 4th

By Ashley Fantz and Ed Payne, CNN

It's likely to be a very wet Fourth of July for North Carolina's Outer Banks.

Tropical Storm Arthur has formed off eastern Florida, the National Hurricane Center said Tuesday, making it the first named storm of the 2014 Atlantic hurricane season.

The center said the system could reach minimal hurricane strength by the time it hits the Outer Banks on Thursday night.

At 2 p.m. Tuesday, the center said Arthur was moving toward the northwest at 5 mph and its general motion should continue through the night. Its center is expected to remain east of the east-central coast of Florida through Wednesday night.

Florida can expect heavy rain on Tuesday and Wednesday, with accumulations of 1 to 3 inches typical, and up to 5 inches in some areas.

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[scarlett~nc]

my cousin and her family left for the Outer Banks today ..she said the rain and 70 mph winds didn't bother her ..