planosteve wrote:GFB wrote:planosteve wrote:Ken Moriff's latest advisory agrees with me. The stock market is being held up by the FED's holding down interest rates. But, that can't last forever. The Stock Market is now totally disconnected with Main Street. He sees 19,500 on the Dow and a crash by the end of the year.
..then what?
Some crashes have lasted one day.
I doubt a drop that lasted 1 day was a crash. The flaw in Moriff's "exit strategy" is you have to exit before the crash. And he's not going to tell you until after it's almost over. And a lot of people would chicken out if he did.
The Flash Crash of 2010 lasted one day.
The terrible Black Monday crash of 1987 was over and the market had recovered AND some in just a few weeks.
Predicting a "crash" is meaningless.